// SIGINT // NARRATIVE MOMENTUM

Narrative tracker — mention spikes

Real-time global news mention-rate tracker. For each curated query, we pull a 30-day timeline from GDELT's DOC API, aggregate to daily totals, compute a baseline mean and standard deviation over the prior days, and flag a "spike" when the most recent 24 hours of coverage exceed 2 standard deviations above baseline.

What we track

  • Daily mention totals — number of articles globally that match each query, in 15-minute buckets aggregated to UTC days.
  • Baseline statistics — rolling mean and standard deviation over the prior days (excludes today).
  • Spike detection — flag when current 24h ≥ baseline_mean + 2σ.

Why watch it

Narrative momentum often leads markets and policy. A 2σ spike on a UAP-adjacent query without an obvious news event is itself information.